长鞭效应

进入二十世纪，供应链管理越来越成为学术界研究的一个热门领域，而长鞭效应（bullwhipeffect）正是实施供应链管理中的一个重要障碍。

Supply Chain Management has become a hotspot for scholars since the 21st century , and Bullwhip Effect is just a crucial obstacle to actualize Supply Chain Management .

在阐明长鞭效应的概念及其在分销系统中成因的基础上，结合企业信息化工程的实施，基于BPR原理提出了功能型的分销系统模型。

The concept and cause of the bullwhip effect in distribution system was introduced . Combining with the implementation of enterprise information project , a functional model of distribution system was proposed based on BPR theory .

为降低供应链的整体运作成本，减小长鞭效应的影响，建立了多级供应链的Multi-agent模型，并运用遗传算法（GA）对其需求预测进行优化研究。

In order to minimize total operation cost and reduce bullwhip effect , multi-agent model of multi-level supply chain is suggested and genetic algorithm is used to forecast the demand .

作为新型库存管理模式，供应商管理库存（VMI）可以有效地消除供应链中的长鞭效应，从而提高供应链的整体收益。

As a new pattern of inventory management , Vendor Managed Inventory ( VMI ) can effectively eliminate the " bullwhip effect in supply chain ", in order to improve the entire supply chain overall performance .

然而，在e-ERP系统信息流传输过程中，存在一种信息失真的现象&长鞭效应。

But there is a phenomenon called bullwhip effect that information is distorted , when information flow is transferred in e-ERP system .

需求预测和供应链协调对长鞭效应的影响分析

Impacts of demand forecasts and supply chain coordination on bullwhip effect

信息共享对长鞭效应影响的数量模型分析

A Model for the Influence of Information Sharing on the Bullwhip Effect

分配机制对供应链长鞭效应影响的研究

The Study of Effects of Distribution Mechanism to Bullwhip Effect

供应链长鞭效应的控制策略研究

Study on Control Policy of Bullwhip Effect in Supply Chain

制造企业库存长鞭效应影响因子分析及控制方法

Influencing Factor and Controlling Approaches for Inventory Bullwhip Effect in Manufacturing Supply Chain

最后提出了减弱长鞭效应的四项措施。

Four actions that can be taken to mitigate the bullwhip effect is presented .

抑制需求预测因素对长鞭效应弱化作用的研究

The Research of Weakening of Bullwhip Effects through Depressing the Factor of Demand Prediction

邵武市土质滑坡特征、分布规律及减灾对策长鞭效应的实质与弱化措施

Disaster Mitigating Countermoves in Shaowu City Essence and mitigating methods of the Bullwhip Effect

长鞭效应的实质与弱化措施

Essence and mitigating methods of the Bullwhip Effect

长鞭效应是供应链管理中由于供应链合作伙伴之间缺乏合作与协调的结果。

The Bullwhip effect is the result of lacking cooperation and coordination among partners in supply chain .

并在国内外学者研究的基础上，分析了抑制长鞭效应的相应对策。

On the basis of scholars 's researches , this dissertation brings forward correspondent countermeasures against bullwhip effect .

在运用滑动平均和指数平滑预测方法时，长鞭效应总是存在。

However , the bullwhip effect always exists when the moving average and the exponential smoothing forecasting are used .

本文研究供应链中长鞭效应产生的原因及相应的弱化方法。

In this paper . the essence and mitigating methods of the bullwhip effect in the supply chain is researched .

在上述分析的基础之上，将系统动力学的原理用于对长鞭效应的分析之中，先画出相应的系统流程图，然后建立了一个简单的库存管理系统的动力学仿真模型。

First we show the corresponding System Flow Chart , and then instruct a simple evaluation model for storage management system .

最后，以一个石化企业的电子商务系统为对象，进行了抑制长鞭效应的随机控制仿真实验，结果表明电子商务系统的长鞭效应得到了抑制。

A simulation of petroleum distribute system in EB is done , and the result shows that the bullwhip is reduced .

基于以上分析，最后提出弱化长鞭效应的几项对策。

Finally , we present several practical actions that can be taken to mitigate the bullwhip effect based on the above analyses .

根据上述波动现象从波动幅度、波动时间及阶层传递放大率来观察长鞭效应现象。

Based on the above scenarios , the bullwhip effect can be observed by inventory fluctuation , time and level transfer ratio .

90年代以来，作为实施供应链管理的重要障碍，长鞭效应受到人们越来越多的注意。

Since 1990s , Bullwhip Effect , which is a main obstacle in supply chain take more and more , people 's attention .

证明了除了累积提前期以外，长鞭效应还与信息共享时的库存、生产控制方式有关。

And that the stock and manufacture policy also play an important role in deducing the bullwhip besides the accumulative lead time is concluded .

该文讨论长鞭效应的概念和成因，并给出一种量化模型，用以分析比较采用分散信息和集中信息的长鞭效应；

The paper discusses the concept , causes and a quantifying model , and compares the results based on centralized and decentralized information system respectively .

分销渠道与供应链管理，论述长鞭效应及应对措施；

Distribution channels and the management of supplying chains . It is devoted to the " bullwhip effect " and the measures to handle it .

分析结果表明，在运用自适应过滤预测方法时，供应链不一定存在长鞭效应，文章进一步提出该预测方法前提下长鞭效应存在的条件；

We find out that the bullwhip effect does not always exist when the self-adaptive filtering forecasting is used , and present the existence condition .

供应链管理中牛鞭效应的成因及对策研究信息共享对长鞭效应影响的数量模型分析

Study on the Causes and Countermeasures of the Bullwhip Effect in Supply Chain Management A Model for the Influence of Information Sharing on the Bullwhip Effect

运用自适应过滤、滑动平均和指数平滑预测方法分析多阶段供应链中长鞭效应。

In this paper , the bullwhip effect in a multistage supply chain is analyzed using self-adaptive filtering , moving average and exponential smoothing demand forecast technniques .

本文以啤酒对策实验为基础，经过数据分析和推理，研究了抑制需求预测因素对长鞭效应的弱化作用。

Based on the " Beer Teat " and through data analyzing and inference , the paper investigates the weakening effects of Bullwhip effects through depressing the foctors of demand prediction .